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Friday, September 19, 2008

In congressional races, a GOP revival?

The Gallup Poll recently reported that the GOP had largely closed the gap with voters asked whether they’d vote for a generic Republican or Democrat. I confess I dismissed those results as an outlier, but I can’t do that anymore.

The Politico now reports on a Pew poll basically confirming the Gallup results:

New polling suggests that the Republican Party is beginning to regain some of its luster and, perhaps as important, is experiencing a surge in excitement among its political base.

A new poll by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press reports that independent voters have an equally favorable opinion of both parties, 50 to 49 percent, a one-point edge for the GOP. That compares to an 18-point Democratic advantage as recently as August, a wide gap that had generally held for more than a year.

I don’t know how to account for that — I’m sure some of you folks will have a theory. But it will be interesting to see whether that holds up in current economic conditions.

UPDATE: Gallup just released the latest update of its three-day rolling tracking poll: Obama up 5, 49-44.

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