Jay Bookman

By reebok

June 20, 2008 3:58 PM | Link to this

The right-wing hate machine will crank up, and too many GA voters believe anything they see on e-mail. McCain will roll in Georgia and much of the deep South, but get crushed most everywhere else. Obama will win the election, but he will not win Georgia.

By Bud Wiser

June 20, 2008 4:30 PM | Link to this

Georgia, with a 27.5% black population voting almost wholly (let me guess???) Democrat, will combine that bloc with just enough liberals, eggheads, wackos, environmentalists, people on the public dole, and, of course, the mentally impaired, and go to Obama by a squeaker.

Any other Republican besides McCain would fulfill reebok’s prophecy here. As for getting ‘crushed’ everywhere else, Mr. reebok should use his obvious amount of free time reading actual polls, news surveys, and reports from sources other than the Daily Kos to get real world information. McCain may well lose the general election, but the only thing getting crushed are the peanuts under reebok’s shoes as he paces around the bar on election night with his homies, planning on how to best use the sure increases in welfare they will be receiving from the government of the New Amerika of Obama.

By Jay's brother

June 20, 2008 4:53 PM | Link to this

Hey, did you hear? Obama is for change. He’ll be the first since Watergate era to decline public financing! Comes up with some lame excuse of PAC’s pouring all kinds of money (1.7% of all receipts for McC and 1.1% for RNC accord to TIME). I guess it’s hard to decline all that money from Soros to buy the election. It costs money you know to bus all those people into the polls. How wonderful—that’s REAL change you can believe in.

By CJ

June 20, 2008 5:35 PM | Link to this

Jay’s Brother”[Obama] Comes up with some lame excuse of PAC’s pouring all kinds of money (1.7% of all receipts for McC and 1.1% for RNC accord to TIME)”

Thank you for those cherry-picked facts.

In fact, if you add up all money (no cherry-picking) donated to McCain, the RNC and right-leaning 527s (e.g. Freedom Watch) and compare it to the donations to Obama, the DNC and left-leaning 527s (e.g. MoveOn.org), money available to McCain and Associates dwarf funds available to Obama and friends.

For the record, Obama has asked his supporters not to donate to 527s while encouraging MoveOn.org and others not to run ads on his behalf. McCain, on the other had, has done the opposite.

With McCain taking advantage of 527s, which can accept unlimited donations from anyone, if Obama were to limit himself to public funding, then he wouldn’t be able to compete with ads run by the RNC and right-wing 527s like the one that placed the Swift Boat ads in ‘04. Kudos to Obama for refusing to allow Republicans to bully him into handicapping himself during the general election.

By The Numantine

June 20, 2008 5:50 PM | Link to this

The reason this poll is closer is that they included Bob Barr in the survey. The other polls have yet to do that.

By Jay's brother

June 20, 2008 7:01 PM | Link to this

S-U-R-E CJ, Obama told Moveon.org NOT to run any ads on his behalf….wink, wink. I’m sure he has told Soros not to finance any 527’s. PUH-leeze, how stupid do you think we all are? Bottom line is that he has willfully BROKE a campaign promise. He may be the first legitimate black presidential candidate, but he’s an old time politician like all before, making and breaking promises to suit his needs. Some “change”,

By Jay's other brother

June 20, 2008 7:07 PM | Link to this

hey, bro, say it, dont spray it. (puh-leeze)

Polls are misleading on purpose. The pollsters have to lie or no one will pay attention to the campaign at all. We all know it’s Obama in a 65/35 landslide, but we’ll listen to lies because lies give us goosebumps and tingly feelings all over our bodies…..when that happens I can do these funny things with my fingers and my lips…..

By James

June 20, 2008 7:51 PM | Link to this

Obama is for change. McCain is for real money !

By Hank

June 20, 2008 8:08 PM | Link to this

Based on your logic — as well as the prior polls you site — Obama must be in fact LEADING McCain in GA since this firm historially has underpolled Obama in the past.

Georgia in play for a Democrat! Wow. This will be fun election year.

By Hillbilly Deluxe

June 20, 2008 9:06 PM | Link to this

Obama changed his mind on public campaign financing. Is that what he means by change? He kind of reminds me of Eugene McCarthy.

By Matt Towery,Jr.

June 20, 2008 10:39 PM | Link to this

Mr. Bookman, As a proud Barack Obama supporter, I very respectfully take issue with your categorization of my father’s company’s polling as somehow being just “so-so.” I am proud that my Dad’s organization polled the winner in tough races such as Iowa and Texas (in fact, his firm was among the most accurate in the list for polling the winner of presidential caucuses and primaries). Do you have a problem with the fact that a Democrat could be close to winning in Georgia? I don’t. I’m voting and so are all of my friends. My Dad is often, and unfairly, attacked by Democrats as being a former Republican elected official and by Republicans as as a “traitor” to his party. He is neither. My father fights to be objective and his company’s record of having picked hard races (the two McKinney upsets and the only poll to show Perdue tied with Barnes in 2002) are just a few of the examples of why I am proud of his record( I’ve been working at the company this summer and know much of the entire polling history). I am only a college student and don’t know as much as you, and as I stated, I a big Democrat (not typical for a many-generation GOP family in Georgia). But I will not have the success of my Dad’s company, which has been noted for its success even in Canada where I attend school, put down by anyone. This is particularly true for a columnist who I admire, such as you, who is supposed to be a progressive. When you see him (Dad) on WSB, or on CNN, or Fox, if he says it’s true, it’s true (he told Hannity that Obama would win North Carolina which you did not note). “Big Matt” does not lie. Our family may disagree on many things, but you attacked my Dad’s credibility without basis (see the polling firms that accurately matched poling the winner in 2008). For that you should apologize. If nothing else, you should embrace Barack Obama as a formidable candidate, rather than taking the typical white male view that there is no way he can win. If “Big Matt” says it’s possible,” I believe it is possible. And,I personally, am voting for him. Respectfully submitted, Matt A. Towery. Jr.

By GodHatesTrash

June 21, 2008 8:42 AM | Link to this

Georgia is undoubtedly one of the most illiterate areas in the country, if not the world, so rightwingnuts are a definite majority there. However, the candidacy of Bob Barr, wingnut extraordinaire, could siphon off just enough of the moron vote to allow Obama to get more votes than McCain…

Run, Bob, run!

By Hillbilly Deluxe

June 21, 2008 8:27 PM | Link to this

Since Jay Bookman is supporting Barak Obama, where is Matt Towry, Jr. coming from?

By susan

June 23, 2008 11:31 AM | Link to this

This is gonna sound stupid, but you mean there is a chance that Obama might win Georgia?

That would be GREAT!

I might get my hopes up and begin to think that Obama could win the election.

By my observation winning hasn’t had anything to do with the 2000 and 2004 elections, and McCain is as tied to George W. Bush as bootstraps. I would argue that there is no way McCain is going to loose, and that it is already a done deal no matter what happens.

Of course, having said that, I am still voting for Barak Obama and will work hard to get others to do the same.